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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-116/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 59.6% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The 4th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Chargers this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).
  • The Patriots defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (57.0) vs. TEs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Will Dissly's 5.1% Target Share this year indicates a significant decline in his pass game workload over last year's 14.7% mark.
  • After totaling 20.0 air yards per game last year, Will Dissly has been a disappointment this year, currently boasting 7.0 per game.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • Will Dissly has put up significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).

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