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Will Dissly Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

Will Dissly's 88.9% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys an impressive progression in his receiving skills over last year's 81.0% figure.

Will Dissly has been one of the best TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 4.98 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 99th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.47 seconds per snap.

After totaling 20.0 air yards per game last season, Will Dissly has regressed heavily this season, now sitting at 4.0 per game.

Will Dissly's 7.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 27.5.

As it relates to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Chargers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

Will Dissly has compiled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).

More Will Dissly Player Props

Will Dissly Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

Will Dissly Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17