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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.
  • The Chargers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Will Dissly profiles as one of the top TEs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 99th percentile.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Philadelphia's safety corps has been atrocious this year, ranking as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chargers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.2 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • After accumulating 20.0 air yards per game last season, Will Dissly has produced significantly less this season, currently sitting at 4.0 per game.
  • Will Dissly's 6.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 27.5.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chargers profiles as the worst in the league this year.
  • Will Dissly's 10.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year reflects an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 32.0 mark.

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