Will Dissly Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Will Dissly

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:50 PM UTC

Analysis

Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-119/-109).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
Will Dissly has been among the most reliable receivers in the league among tight ends, completing an impressive 82.8% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile.
Will Dissly has been among the most effective receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging a stellar 9.17 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 95th percentile.
Will Dissly has been among the leading tight ends in football at generating extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 91st percentile.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has struggled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.95 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in football.