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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks

Will Dissly Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+412/-898).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +416 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +412.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Will Dissly has been a big part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 13.6% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among TEs.

Will Dissly has put up significantly more air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (7.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.3 plays per game.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (68.3%) to tight ends this year (68.3%).

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded the 7th-least passing TDs in football to TEs: 0.17 per game this year.

The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the 10th-best collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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