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Wan'Dale Robinson

Wan'Dale Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Wan'Dale Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-295).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -280 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -295.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 139.7 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • The leading projections forecast Wan'Dale Robinson to be much more involved in his offense's pass game near the end zone this week (32.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (16.7% in games he has played).
  • Wan'Dale Robinson has accrued significantly more air yards this season (70.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 9th-most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (45.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the New York Giants.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Wan'Dale Robinson's 68.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a substantial reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 72.0% rate.
  • The Saints pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.7%) to wideouts since the start of last season (62.7%).

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