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Wan'Dale Robinson

Wan'Dale Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Wan'Dale Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+215/-250).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +215.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.5 plays per game.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • While Wan'Dale Robinson has received 16.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in New York's offense near the goal line this week at 28.0%.
  • After totaling 41.0 air yards per game last year, Wan'Dale Robinson has made big progress this year, now averaging 73.0 per game.
  • Wan'Dale Robinson's 62.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 49.4.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Giants being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 8th-most run-focused team in football in the red zone (47.8% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have only 127.0 total plays called: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Raiders, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.4 per game) this year.

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