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Wan'Dale Robinson

Wan'Dale Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Wan'Dale Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-310).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -290 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -310.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New York Giants are predicted by the model to run 66.2 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
  • The Giants have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Wan'Dale Robinson to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the goal line this week (27.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (16.4% in games he has played).
  • Wan'Dale Robinson has accrued far more air yards this season (75.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).
  • Wan'Dale Robinson's 61.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 49.4.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 50.7% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Giants to be the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 47.2% red zone run rate.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) generally lead to worse passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.7 per game) this year.
  • Wan'Dale Robinson's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 72.0% to 68.7%.

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