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Wan'Dale Robinson

Wan'Dale Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Wan'Dale Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -280 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -300.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Giants are enormous underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • The Giants have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.0 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Wan'Dale Robinson to be a much bigger part of his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (26.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (12.5% in games he has played).
  • Wan'Dale Robinson has totaled significantly more air yards this season (76.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).
  • Wan'Dale Robinson's 61.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 49.4.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Giants to pass on 55.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.
  • The projections expect the Giants to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Wan'Dale Robinson's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 72.0% to 68.2%.

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