Wan'Dale Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Wan'Dale Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Wan'Dale Robinson

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Wan'Dale Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Wan'Dale Robinson to accumulate 6.5 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Wan'Dale Robinson's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 77.9% to 81.8%.

Favors Under

With a 58.6% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in football has been the New York Giants.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Saints, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.
Wan'Dale Robinson has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (30.0 per game).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in the league this year.
With a feeble 7.3 adjusted yards per target (23rd percentile) this year, Wan'Dale Robinson ranks among the worst wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

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