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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Van Jefferson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+510/-640).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -550 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -640.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Titans being a giant -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (58.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.
  • While Van Jefferson has garnered 8.7% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Tennessee's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 17.5%.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's DT corps has been very good this year, projecting as the best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Van Jefferson's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 61.5% to 57.8%.
  • The receiving touchdown field reads "0" on Van Jefferson's stats page this year.
  • The Chargers pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.9%) to wideouts this year (59.9%).
  • The Chargers defense has allowed the 4th-fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to wideouts: 0.50 per game this year.

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