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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Van Jefferson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+610/-640).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +640 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +610.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 14-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Titans to pass on 66.2% of their plays: the highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.0% red zone pass rate.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • The Colts defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by the projections to call just 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.4 plays per game.
  • Van Jefferson has not caught any TDs this year.

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