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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Van Jefferson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1900/-5500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -5500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -5500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 58.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Raiders pass defense has yielded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (73.3%) to wideouts this year (73.3%).
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • With a dismal 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Van Jefferson ranks as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.
  • Van Jefferson has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (3.0 per game) than he did last year (26.0 per game).
  • Van Jefferson's 5.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 22.0.
  • This year, the shaky Raiders run defense has given up a massive 1.60 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 2nd-biggest rate in the league.

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