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Van Jefferson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Van Jefferson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+475/-760).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -450 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -760.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

After averaging 26.0 air yards per game last season, Van Jefferson has produced significantly more this season, now pacing 36.0 per game.

The opposing side have run for the 4th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.64 per game) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by our trusted projection set to run only 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.

Van Jefferson's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 61.5% to 54.8%.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.8%) vs. wideouts this year (59.8%).

The Jaguars linebackers profile as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

More Van Jefferson Player Props

Van Jefferson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Van Jefferson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13