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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Van Jefferson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+510/-700).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -610 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -700.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.
  • With a 59.6% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in these cases has been the Titans.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • While Van Jefferson has earned 11.5% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Tennessee's pass game near the end zone in this contest at 5.9%.
  • After accumulating 26.0 air yards per game last season, Van Jefferson has seen marked improvement this season, now sitting at 39.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 54.3 plays per game.
  • Van Jefferson's 52.8% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last season's 61.5% mark.
  • This year, the stout Seahawks defense has allowed a mere 58.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.

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