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Van Jefferson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Van Jefferson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.

After totaling 26.0 air yards per game last year, Van Jefferson has gotten better this year, now boasting 36.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.

Van Jefferson's 52.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a remarkable regression in his receiving skills over last year's 61.5% mark.

The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on Van Jefferson's player page this year.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest level in the NFL versus the Houston Texans defense this year (62.9% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the imposing Texans defense has allowed a mere 0.56 TDs through the air per game to opposing WRs: the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL.

More Van Jefferson Player Props

Van Jefferson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Van Jefferson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11