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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Van Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+165/-235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -235.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • In this week's contest, Van Jefferson is predicted by the model to place in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 6.4 targets.
  • While Van Jefferson has earned 10.7% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Tennessee's passing attack this week at 5.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 54.3 plays per game.
  • Van Jefferson's 52.8% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last season's 61.5% mark.
  • This year, the stout Seahawks defense has allowed a mere 58.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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