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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are an enormous 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects Van Jefferson to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack in this week's game (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).

Van Jefferson's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 61.5% to 79.4%.

Van Jefferson's receiving effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 10.94 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.19 rate last season.

The New England Patriots pass defense has allowed the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.9%) vs. wideouts this year (68.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

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