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Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

After totaling 26.0 air yards per game last season, Van Jefferson has shown good development this season, now boasting 42.0 per game.

Van Jefferson's 29.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 22.0.

This year, the shaky Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been gouged for a massive 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 6th-largest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Titans to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.

Van Jefferson's 51.7% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 61.5% figure.

With a lackluster 6.3 adjusted yards per target (9th percentile) this year, Van Jefferson stands as one of the worst wide receivers in the game in football.

More Van Jefferson Player Props

Van Jefferson Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16