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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 131.8 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • After accruing 26.0 air yards per game last year, Van Jefferson has seen marked improvement this year, currently sitting at 36.0 per game.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Cleveland's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The 10th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Titans this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) usually cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.
  • Van Jefferson's 56.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a substantial reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 61.5% figure.

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