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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • After averaging 26.0 air yards per game last season, Van Jefferson has produced significantly more this season, now pacing 36.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by our trusted projection set to run only 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Van Jefferson's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 61.5% to 54.8%.
  • Van Jefferson's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.25 rate last year.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.8%) vs. wideouts this year (59.8%).
  • This year, the strong Jaguars defense has conceded the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a feeble 7.1 yards.

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