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Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.

After totaling 26.0 air yards per game last year, Van Jefferson has gotten better this year, now boasting 36.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.

Van Jefferson has been used less as a potential target this season (50.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (65.7%).

Van Jefferson's 52.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a remarkable regression in his receiving skills over last year's 61.5% mark.

Van Jefferson's skills in grinding out extra yardage have declined this season, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.25 rate last season.

This year, the tough Houston Texans defense has surrendered a mere 114.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-best in the league.

More Van Jefferson Player Props

Van Jefferson Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11