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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are enormous -8-point underdogs.

The Broncos defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) last year.

Last year, the weak Broncos defense has been gouged for a monstrous 159.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.7% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Titans last year (a measly 56.5 per game on average).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year.

With a subpar 19.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (25th percentile) last year, Van Jefferson stands as one of the bottom wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

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