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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+101/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup quarterback Baker Mayfield in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Rams are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Van Jefferson to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack this week (19.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.4% in games he has played).

Van Jefferson's receiving efficiency has been refined this year, compiling 8.92 yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.28 figure last year.

The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has struggled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.86 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 4th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.3 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 9th-least in the league.

Van Jefferson has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (53.0 per game) than he did last year (74.0 per game).

The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

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