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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams

Van Jefferson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+374/-761).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -695 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -761.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Van Jefferson has posted a monstrous 67.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among WRs.

Van Jefferson ranks in the 77th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 0.29 per game.

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line has afforded their QB 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Van Jefferson has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, completing a mere 55.1% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 5th percentile among WRs

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.1%) to WRs this year (62.1%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks profile as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Los Angeles Rams have incorporated play action on just 21.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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