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Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-365).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -345 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -365.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Giants being a -6-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the New York Giants.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Giants are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Giants profiles as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the fierce Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up a feeble 78.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • Since the start of last season, the tough Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded a mere 0.00 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing RBs: the smallest rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Kansas City's group of DTs has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-worst in the league. in the league.

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