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Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Jameis Winston.
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are big underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Right now, the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • The New York offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) typically prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has shown strong efficiency against RBs this year, surrendering 4.58 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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