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Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-111/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the New York Giants to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Last year, the poor Commanders defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing running backs: a whopping 8.65 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense last year: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • The New York O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football last year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Last year, the strong Washington Commanders defense has yielded a meager 21.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Washington's LB corps has been outstanding last year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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