Tyrod Taylor Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tyrod Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Tyrod Taylor

QB · New York Jets

Touchdowns

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 14, 2025

Updated Dec 7, 2025 9:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyrod Taylor Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+435/-640).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -640.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jets.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL against the Miami Dolphins defense this year (77.0% Adjusted Completion%).
The Miami Dolphins defense has conceded the 9th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.67 per game this year.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Miami's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 7th-best in football.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jets to pass on 52.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
This week, Tyrod Taylor is forecasted by the predictive model to average the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.5.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Dolphins, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
Accounting for 10.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year (75th percentile among quarterbacks), Tyrod Taylor's mobility marks him as a major threat with his legs near the goal line.
With an excellent ratio of 0.20 rushing TDs per game (89th percentile), Tyrod Taylor places as one of the top running QBs in the NFL this year.

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