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Tyrod Taylor

Tyrod Taylor Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tyrod Taylor Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+435/-640).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -640.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jets.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL against the Miami Dolphins defense this year (77.0% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has conceded the 9th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.67 per game this year.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Miami's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 7th-best in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jets to pass on 52.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • This week, Tyrod Taylor is forecasted by the predictive model to average the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.5.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Dolphins, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
  • Accounting for 10.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year (75th percentile among quarterbacks), Tyrod Taylor's mobility marks him as a major threat with his legs near the goal line.
  • With an excellent ratio of 0.20 rushing TDs per game (89th percentile), Tyrod Taylor places as one of the top running QBs in the NFL this year.

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