Tyrod Taylor Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tyrod Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Tyrod Taylor

QB · New York Jets

Touchdowns

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 13, 2025

Updated Nov 30, 2025 5:47 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyrod Taylor Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+540/-690).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +550 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +540.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Jets, who are -3-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 133.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
This year, Tyrod Taylor has not scored any TDs on the ground.
This year, the stout Atlanta Falcons run defense has given up a measly 0.73 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 7th-smallest rate in football.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 50.2% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect Tyrod Taylor to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Falcons defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
While Tyrod Taylor has received 0.0% of his team's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of New York's ground game near the end zone in this contest at 7.6%.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

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