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Tyrod Taylor

Tyrod Taylor TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tyrod Taylor TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jets.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL against the Miami Dolphins defense this year (77.0% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has conceded the 9th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.67 per game this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Miami's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jets to pass on 52.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • This week, Tyrod Taylor is forecasted by the predictive model to average the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.5.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Dolphins, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.

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