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Tyrod Taylor

Tyrod Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets

Tyrod Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 13.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The leading projections forecast the Jets to be the 6th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 47.6% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect Tyrod Taylor to be a more important option in his team's run game this week (17.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (2.1% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Jets are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 121.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jets since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).

Since the start of last season, the formidable Buccaneers run defense has given up a feeble 98.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 5th-best in the NFL.

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