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Tyrod Taylor

Tyrod Taylor Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Tyrod Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 13.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The leading projections forecast the Jets to be the 6th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 47.6% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect Tyrod Taylor to be a more important option in his team's run game this week (17.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (2.1% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Jets are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 121.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jets since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Tampa Bay's collection of LBs has been outstanding since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-best in football.

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