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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-106/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a massive 11.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

In this contest, Tyreek Hill is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.3 targets.

Tyreek Hill's 62.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the NFL: 87th percentile for wide receivers.

With an excellent 4.8 adjusted catches per game (82nd percentile) since the start of last season, Tyreek Hill ranks among the top pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Dolphins to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

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