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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 61.0% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Dolphins since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.7 per game on average).

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

Our trusted projections expect Tyreek Hill to accumulate 7.9 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among WRs.

Tyreek Hill's 62.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) grades out among the league leaders: 88th percentile for WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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