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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-124/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Dolphins have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a whopping 59.7 plays per game.

In this game, Tyreek Hill is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.7 targets.

Tyreek Hill slots into the 90th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 62.5 figure last year.

Tyreek Hill comes in as one of the leading WRs in the league last year, averaging an exceptional 4.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are anticipated by the model to run just 61.6 total plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.

In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Dolphins ranks as the 10th-worst in football last year.

More Tyreek Hill Player Props

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