My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-106/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric team in football (62.1% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.

In this contest, Tyreek Hill is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.8 targets.

When talking about air yards, Tyreek Hill grades out in the lofty 93rd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accumulating an astounding 92.0 per game.

Tyreek Hill has been in the 91st percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) with an impressive 64.2 mark since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the weak Jets defense has been gouged for the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a whopping 8.60 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.0 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.4 per game) since the start of last season.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Dolphins profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Tyreek Hill's 46.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents an impressive decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 57.0 figure.

More Tyreek Hill Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™