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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 61.0% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Dolphins since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.7 per game on average).
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tyreek Hill to accumulate 7.9 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among WRs.
  • When talking about air yards, Tyreek Hill grades out in the towering 90th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 87.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Tyreek Hill ranks as one of the worst wide receivers in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 1st percentile.

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