reorder

Tyquan Thornton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Tyquan Thornton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1800/-2000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -930 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.3% red zone pass rate.

The Chiefs have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.0 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.

After accumulating 22.0 air yards per game last season, Tyquan Thornton has made big progress this season, currently sitting at 84.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see only 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.7 per game) this year.

The leading projections forecast Tyquan Thornton to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass game near the end zone in this game (1.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.3% in games he has played).

With a weak 55.6% Adjusted Completion Rate (19th percentile) this year, Tyquan Thornton rates among the most unreliable receivers in the league among wideouts.

This year, the feeble Buffalo Bills run defense has been gouged for a whopping 1.43 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-largest rate in football.

More Tyquan Thornton Player Props

Tyquan Thornton TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Tyquan Thornton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9