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Tyquan Thornton

Tyquan Thornton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Tyquan Thornton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+640/-830).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +870 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +640.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.4% red zone pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
  • After totaling 22.0 air yards per game last year, Tyquan Thornton has produced significantly more this year, now sitting at 97.0 per game.
  • Tyquan Thornton's 42.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 15.7.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a big 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The model projects Tyquan Thornton to be much less involved in his team's pass game near the goal line in this week's contest (3.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (8.2% in games he has played).
  • With a weak 55.4% Adjusted Completion% (21st percentile) this year, Tyquan Thornton rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to wideouts.

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