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Tyquan Thornton

Tyquan Thornton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Tyquan Thornton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-320).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -380 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -320.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 65.0% red zone pass rate.

Tyquan Thornton has totaled far more air yards this season (120.0 per game) than he did last season (22.0 per game).

Tyquan Thornton's 49.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 15.7.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.

Tyquan Thornton rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in just 56.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 24th percentile among WRs

This year, the stout Lions defense has conceded a puny 65.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.

The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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