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Tyquan Thornton

Tyquan Thornton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Tyquan Thornton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+440/-760).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -680 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -760.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% red zone pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 129.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Chiefs since the start of last season (a whopping 59.0 per game on average).

The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.5 per game) since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyquan Thornton checks in as one of the worst possession receivers in the league, completing a mere 49.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 13th percentile among wide receivers

Since the start of last season, the formidable Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded a mere 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.

When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's unit has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

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