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Tyquan Thornton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1000/-1500).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1850 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1500.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 60.8% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (63.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chiefs are anticipated by the projection model to run 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.1 per game on average).After accumulating 22.0 air yards per game last year, Tyquan Thornton has gotten better this year, currently sitting at 71.0 per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite this week.With a feeble 51.6% Adjusted Catch% (17th percentile) this year, Tyquan Thornton stands as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league when it comes to wide receivers.This year, the tough Houston Texans defense has yielded a meager 56.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the lowest rate in the NFL.This year, the daunting Houston Texans defense has yielded a puny 0.58 passing TDs per game to opposing wideouts: the 5th-best rate in football.When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Houston's unit has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.
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