Tyquan Thornton Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tyquan Thornton

NFL · Player Props

Tyquan Thornton

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Touchdowns

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 12, 2025

Updated Nov 24, 2025 12:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyquan Thornton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+720/-1450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1350 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1450.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.
The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
Tyquan Thornton has notched far more air yards this year (81.0 per game) than he did last year (22.0 per game).

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
With a poor 53.5% Adjusted Completion Rate (22nd percentile) this year, Tyquan Thornton places among the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to wideouts.

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