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Tyquan Thornton

Tyquan Thornton Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

Tyquan Thornton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +139 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the most pass-focused team in football (69.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically prompt worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

Our trusted projections expect Tyquan Thornton to be a much smaller part of his team's pass attack this week (7.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.8% in games he has played).

With a feeble 54.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (24th percentile) this year, Tyquan Thornton stands as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among WRs.

The Jaguars pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.5%) versus wide receivers this year (59.5%).

More Tyquan Thornton Player Props

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