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Tyquan Thornton

Tyquan Thornton Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Tyquan Thornton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 58.9 plays per game.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • While Tyquan Thornton has accounted for 7.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Kansas City's passing offense in this contest at 13.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • Tyquan Thornton is positioned as one of the weakest wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a mere 1.4 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 18th percentile among wideouts.

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