Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

NFL · Player Props

Tyquan Thornton

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders · Week 8, 2025

Updated Oct 27, 2025 11:57 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
The Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
After totaling 22.0 air yards per game last year, Tyquan Thornton has produced significantly more this year, now sitting at 97.0 per game.
The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Tyquan Thornton rates as one of the leading WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 49.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.

Favors Under

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a big 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
While Tyquan Thornton has been responsible for 11.4% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a less important option in Kansas City's offense in this week's game at 3.7%.
With a weak 55.4% Adjusted Completion% (21st percentile) this year, Tyquan Thornton rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to wideouts.
With a subpar 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Tyquan Thornton places as one of the leading wide receivers in the game in the NFL in the open field.