Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Tyquan Thornton

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 7, 2025

Updated Oct 19, 2025 7:32 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Tyquan Thornton has accumulated many more air yards this season (100.0 per game) than he did last season (22.0 per game).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year.
With a terrific 54.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (85th percentile) this year, Tyquan Thornton rates as one of the leading WRs in the game in the league.
With a fantastic 11.2 adjusted yards per target (93rd percentile) this year, Tyquan Thornton places among the best pass-catching wide receivers in football.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a giant 13-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
While Tyquan Thornton has received 12.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Kansas City's pass game in this game at 3.0%.
With a feeble 56.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (19th percentile) this year, Tyquan Thornton has been as one of the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to wideouts.
With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Tyquan Thornton ranks as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL in space.