Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

NFL · Player Props

Tyquan Thornton

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions · Week 6, 2025

Updated Oct 13, 2025 12:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Tyquan Thornton has totaled far more air yards this season (120.0 per game) than he did last season (22.0 per game).
Tyquan Thornton's 49.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 15.7.
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.
Tyquan Thornton has been one of the top wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 45.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.
Tyquan Thornton rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in just 56.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 24th percentile among WRs
With a subpar 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Tyquan Thornton places among the best wide receivers in the league in football in the open field.
This year, the strong Lions defense has yielded a paltry 62.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 9th-best rate in football.
The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.