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Tyler Shough

Tyler Shough TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Tyler Shough TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • The New Orleans offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans defense has yielded a colossal 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-highest rate in the league.
  • The Tennessee cornerbacks rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

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